Wat is er nu werkelijk gebeurd tijdens de presidentsverkiezingen in Iran? We weten het niet en zullen het waarschijnlijk ook nooit te weten komen. De Iraanse “raad van hoeders“ geeft toe dat er in 50 gebieden gevallen van fraude is geconstateerd. Een feit dat werd opgepikt door het “Chatham House“ en ge-extrapoleerd(pdf!) naar “bewijs“ voor grootschalige fraude. Maar overtuigend is het verhaal niet. Zoals de reformistische presidentskandidaat Moesavi niets meer op tafel kan leggen dan “beschuldigingen“ blijven de vermoedens van fraude dat ook: “slechts vermoedens“. Of zoals de Midden Oosten correspondent voor “The Independent“ Robert Fisk aangeeft: “Ik weet het niet maar ik vermoedt dat Ahmadinejad gewonnen heeft. De cijfers zijn alleen geïnflateerd om Ahmadinejad’s overwinning er beter uit te laten zien.“ Iets wat de Raad van Hoeders ook opmerkt. Fraude ja, maar niet in dergelijke mate dat Moesavi de eigenlijke president is.
Blijven staan de opgeblazen westerse media-aandacht, inclusief hijgerige politici, de dubieuze Iraanse twitteraars, de “gelekte resultaten“ door “een ambtenaar die door een “auto-ongeluk“ om het leven zou zijn gekomen“(fake), ingevlogen Hezbollah-strijders vs protesterenden(fake), aanslagen op mausoleum, aanslagen op universiteiten, aanslagen op legerbarakken, neergeschoten omstanders(schokkend) en opgeblazen demonstrantenmassa’s. De droom over zelfbeschikking en democratie sneuvelt. Mahmou blijft president. Iran de boogyman.
As Iranian prime minister during the 1980s, Mousavi was linked by intelligence services to the 1983 bombing of a U.S. Marines barracks in Beirut, which killed 241 U.S. servicemen and prompted the Reagan administration to remove U.S. troops from Lebanon.
Retired Navy Admiral James Lyons, speaking to CQ, also links Mousavi to the 1988 truck bombing of the U.S. Navy Fleet Center in Naples, Italy.
Mousavi, prime minister for most of the 1980s, personally selected his point man for the Beirut terror campaign, Ali Akbar Mohtashemi-pur, and dispatched him to Damascus as Iran's ambassador, according to former CIA and military officials.
The ambassador in turn hosted several meetings of the cell that would carry out the Beirut attacks, which were overheard by the National Security Agency.
Much was made of the fact that millions of paper ballots had been counted within just a few hours. "Not possible," according to some pundits, and a clear sign of blatant vote rigging. Surely such a huge number of pieces of paper cannot be sorted and counted within such a short time! The authorities must have been making the results up before the counting had finished, was the seemingly logical conclusion.
This is not necessarily so. In fact, results that take one or more days to come out are to be treated with far more caution. It raises the suspicion that some backroom haggling had been going on, where one candidate needed some time to convince the other – either by the sweet lure of money, or the menacing spectre of the bullet – to see things his way. In the properly run elections I observed, the count was often swift and accurate. To illustrate this, a simple bit of arithmetic may suffice.
In my experience an average polling station has anywhere from less than one thousand to 3000 registered voters; let’s take the figure of 2000 for this exercise. An election commission consists typically of some five people; again, an average. In Iran, there were four candidates on the ballot and the reported turnout was around 85%. Thus, assuming that precincts in Iran did not have a meaningfully higher number of registered voters than 2000, some 1700 ballots needed counting. (To be precise, all ballots need to be counted, including the unused and invalid ones, but those are obviously quicker to process than used ones). This comes to 340 ballots per commission member.
Let’s give the election officials one hour to sort the ballots, one hour to count them, and one hour to fill out the various electoral protocols (and count the unused and invalid ballots), so that results can be in within three hours after the closing of the poll. This requires each commission member to sort a little less than 6 pieces of paper per minute, not a particularly cumbersome job, particularly given that there were only four candidates and thus only four different piles on which to put a particular ballot. Now that the ballots are sorted, each member has the same ten seconds per ballot for the count – not a Herculean task either. In fact, a sea of time – enough to allow for a double-check and still make it within the hour.
Given the enthusiastic Western reports of the role played by modern communication technology in the present Iranian upheaval – it seems that everybody is tweeting and facebooking over there – we can safely assume that reporting the official results from the local precincts to the Regional or Central Election Commission did not have to be done by time-consuming pigeon-post.
Hence somehow a neocon has insinuated himself into the center of Iran policy, first as a Hillary Clinton advisor and “diplomat,” and now as an advisor to the president working for the National Security Agency.
Ross is known to favor a policy of ultimatums to Iran followed by a naval blockade to prevent gasoline imports, then a blockade of oil exports, then massive air strikes on the nuclear facilities and military facilities. The goal would be not only the crippling of the nuclear program for a few years but the destruction of the military and government.
Ross’s change of jobs was announced in the midst of the street demonstrations following the contested election results in Iran last week. He will now literally move into the White House and provide day to day counsel to Obama on how to “deal” with a leadership he wants to topple.
"There are reports suggesting that the CIA is behind all this, all of which are patently false," Obama said, adding that the dissent in Tehran had been "generated indigenously" and could not be blamed on U.S. interference.
Hihi...Wallbama moest zelf iets over de CIA zeggen....
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